The European Central Bank Management Commission Kazaks gives market expectations "cold water": there is no need to cut interest rates in the first half of next year

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Zhitong Finance was informed that the European Central Bank Management Commission and the President of Latvian Bank Martins Kazaks said that the European Central Bank may not need to reduce borrowing costs in the first six months of next year,时事新闻 which is contrary to investors' earliest expenses for European Central Bank's earliest interest rate cuts in spring.Kazaks said that considering the current economic outlook and midterm forecast baseline, there is no need to cut interest rates in the first half of 2024.However, Kazaks said that if the prospects change and the risk balance of prices changes, "our interest rate decision may change."

  

RecentAt present, the market completely digests the expectations of the European Central Bank will cut interest rates 6 times and a total of 150 basis points in 2024, which will reduce the interest rate of the euro zone deposit mechanism to 2.5%.In addition, the market also predicts that the possibility of the European Central Bank will start to cut interest rates at 90%in the first quarter of next year, and just three weeks ago, people almost did not consider this situation.

  

Although the European Central Bank's policy makers are still warning the threat of inflation, they are increasingly acknowledged that they may not need to further increase the interest rate of the deposit mechanism to more than 4%.ISABEL SCHNABEL, who is regarded as one of the most eagle committee members of the European Central Bank, recently said that the decline in inflation is "significant and encouraged."

  

However, not everyone agrees with this schedule.Sabrina Khanniche, a strategist of asset management company Pictet Asset Management, said on Wednesday that the European Central Bank will not cut interest rates until the fourth quarter of 2024 due to the pressure of continued rising prices.

  

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