Since the beginning of October,特快资讯 the abnormal humid weather in most parts of Western Europe, Northern Europe, and some parts of Central Europe has delayed the sowing of crops this season, which has adversely affected the growth of crops and hindered early plant growth in many regions.
In the EU's largest food producer France, the unfavorable conditions will be postponed to December. Due to heavy rainfall and flooding, field activities have been stagnant for a long time in the past few weeks.From mid -October to mid -November, the rainfall in some regions reached a record high, and reported local floods, especially in the northern part of the country.
According to FranceAgrimer, the country's public farm office, as of November 27, French farmers have sowned 82%of the expected soft wheat area, which is higher than 74%a week ago.In contrast, the same date in 2022 was 99%, and the long -term average was 95%.The crop rating continued to decline, and 80%of the crop rating was good and excellent, and 83%on November 20.
In the winter barley harvesting season, the seedling area was 92%, while the previous week was 86%.The crop rating drops from the good on November 20 to the excellent 85% to 82% last week.At this time of last year, French barley crops have been under the ground and have been spawned. The crop rating is 97%good and excellent.
Since the beginning of winter crop sowing activities, the delayed sowing, the poor crop growth conditions, and the rare sunlight have caused the largest application agricultural research organization Arvalis to warn that the output of grain in 2023-24 may be adversely affected.As the rainfall continues and winter is coming rapidly, Avaris is expected to turn to spring and summer crops, because it is too late to sow the sowing of the padded field or reorganize in the flood areas.
According to the latest JRC MARS crop monitoring bulletin of the European Commission, the influence of European humid autumn is also obvious in the Three Kingdoms, northern Germany, Denmark, western Poland, and Slovenia.Like France, unfavorable conditions have led to the unable to enter the paddock to plant winter grains, which greatly slows down the final stage of the sowing period, crops seedlings, and early development of crops.JRC MARS is expected to reduce the planting area of the entire European winter grain, and it is expected that the final planting area will decrease compared to last year.
East and southern Poland, central Germany and southern, Austrian, Czech and Croatia's winter valley planting conditions are generally more favorable.In Hungary, the soil humidity was dry in early autumn, and it was replaced by excess rainfall and some sowing delays.On the contrary, most parts of Bulgaria and Romania, especially in the eastern region, are experiencing similar drought conditions. There are few rainfall, and the temperature is higher than the average level, resulting in delay in sowing in winter crops.
This year, severe drought has led to the reduction of the Iberian Peninsula winter and spring crops, but the autumn rainfall higher than the average level has eliminated the lack of soil moisture in most areas, creating ideal conditions for sowing and crop growth.The planting area along the Mediterranean coast is still drought, but grain sowing has been completed on time.
The sowing of rapeseed crops in 2023-24 is now over, and most of the predictive area is sown before the weather becomes too humid.The harvest of crops in major production areas such as France, Germany, and Poland are generally good, but the floods of some farmland have affected the growth of crops, especially in the humid area in France.
The excess rainfall of Denmark, southern Sweden, and the Baltic countries caused local waterlogging, delayed sowing operations and affected the growth of crops.Instead, the drought conditions in most parts of Bulgaria and Romania have hindered the preparation of seedling beds and hindered sowing in many regions.It is expected that the area of rapeseed between the two countries will be lower than last year, and the unsowned areas will be converted into spring or summer crops.
Wheat hair has been booked to China
At the same time, Nord Cereales, which operates grain exit docks in Dunkirk, northern France, will start loading wheat vessels that are planned to be transported to China at this month.The company said later last week that all ships designated in December were confirmed that the terminal is expected to transport about 250,000 tons of wheat that is shipped to China before the end of the month.It is expected that this month, the ships will also be loaded with wheat transported to China on the Port of Normandy in the French Atlantic coast and the Port of Raparis to China.
According to reports, China has purchased up to 2.5 million tons of French wheat for shipping from December to March.However, about ten days ago, there were rumors that some Chinese ships in December have been postponed to March, weakening the expectations of export growth this month, and pushing European wheat prices to a two -year low.
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